Saturday, July 18, 2009

Democrats and the South

a onblur="try {parent.deselectBloggerImageGracefully();} catch(e) {}" href=",+1996-2008.jpg"img style="margin: 0px auto 10px; display: block; text-align: center; cursor: pointer; width: 257px; height: 320px;" src=",+1996-2008.jpg" alt="" id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5359430730141170082" border="0" //aa href=""Jay Costs:/abr /br / /br /pThere has been a lot of talk in recent months about how the shifting sands of northeastern politics has undermined the position of Republicans in that region. This shift was a long time in the making; as the public standing of George W. Bush declined from 2006 to 2008, it was not a great surprise the GOP shed seats in Connecticut, New York, and eastern Pennsylvania - all of which are places where they have exhibited weakness for some time. These seats were the "low-hanging fruit" of the Republican House caucus./p pBut the Democrats have a similar problem, albeit in a different part of the country. They have not suffered any significant congressional losses since 1994, so there is no story to tell of the party being wiped out in any area. Still, Democratic gains in the Northeast and West have corresponded with a decline in Southern and rural areas ion the presidential level/i, leaving members like Dan Boren more vulnerable. We can appreciate this change by looking at the following map. It displays the countywide vote in the South Central divisions (Alabama, Arkansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi, Oklahoma, Tennessee, and Texas) in 1996 and 2008./ //pbr //blockquoteHe has similar county maps for the Southeast. By pushing a liberal agenda Obama is making it harder for Democrats in these states to hide the effects of their vote for leaders like Pelosi who is putting liberals in charge of most of the committees. Democrats in the South in many cases have to hide their liberal ways. Obama is putting them at risk. You can click on the map for a larger view and go to the link to see the map of the Southeast.div class="blogger-post-footer"img width='1' height='1' src=''//div

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